"Generic Ballot" Tightening
I still don't believe any polls out there. Supposedly the "generic ballot" showed Dems up by anywhere from 15-20 points over the past couple months and up 14 last week. Now they are up only 6 points.
The real story here is that this is what has happened with most polls across the country. Polls have shown Dems up big, only to have the races tighten over the past few days (notice Montana, Rhode Island and Maryland as well). But if pollsters want to have any credibility, they need to get closer to the actual expected results as the election nears - and this, I believe, is what is happening.
And once again, we will likely see a media shocked on election day about how well the GOP did in contrast to their expections.
The real story here is that this is what has happened with most polls across the country. Polls have shown Dems up big, only to have the races tighten over the past few days (notice Montana, Rhode Island and Maryland as well). But if pollsters want to have any credibility, they need to get closer to the actual expected results as the election nears - and this, I believe, is what is happening.
And once again, we will likely see a media shocked on election day about how well the GOP did in contrast to their expections.
posted by Richie Rich | 10:46 AM
<< HOME