Bizblogger

Site for Free Markets and Free People

Monday, October 27, 2008

Ignore the Polls: Look at California

Another reason why we should ignore the polls. Obama held an 18% advantage in California, but according to approximately 210,000 early votes in California, the race is basically even among Democrats and Republicans. (The polls all assume about 15% more Democrats than Republicans will vote.)

The results are simply shocking. The polls showed Barack Obama with an 18 point lead in California just a few days ago. The results thus far are the complete opposite. In the most liberal state in the entire country,the results are that 99,000 Republicans have voted and 96,000 Democrats voted. In the mail-in balloting the results so far are that 9,000 Democrats sent in their ballots and that 5,000 Republicans did so. So with nearly 210,000 people having voted, the Democrats have only a 1,000 vote advantage!

I don't expect that California will be this close, but it goes to show that all these polls are completely bogus. We will have an election and the results will prove who wins - not the polls.