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Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Early FL Exit Polls - It's Close...

Some early exit polls are in and they show that most voters' top issue is the economy, which would seem to favor Mitt Romney. Still, it appears that the race is extremely close.

One interesting note is that the Intrade markets have leaned towards McCain, which is now in the low-60s, vs a mid-30s for Romney. Definitely not a perfect data point, but it would seem that McCain is favored slightly. And Amnesty John is doing very well with the Hispanic vote (and he's probably up by 99 points among all the illegals who are voting).

Regardless of the outcome, I don't think this race becomes a runaway for McCain. I think it will remain a tough 2-way battle through Super Tuesday and beyond.