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Tuesday, January 08, 2008

McCain Wins NH - MSM Ecstatic

According to the media, the McCain win is great for McCain and Huckabee and devastating to Romney. I don't buy it. Regardless of what the MSM says, Romney's near 30% second-place finish means he's still in pretty good shape - a win in Wyoming (conservative state) and second place finishes in both IA and NH, two moderate/independent/Democrat states (and of course, "Independents" in NH can vote, which clearly helped McCain).

I think there is near-zero chance McCain or Huckabee get nominated. McCain is a bit more conservative than Huck, but he will be wrong on taxes, wrong on judges, and wrong on conservative principles generally. (True, he would probably be ok on foreign policy, but even there, I think his desire for the media's love could turn him moderate).

Don't believe the hype that Romney is finished - I still think he will gain the majority of votes as he enters the conservative states.

*Update: One interesting factoid is this:
"McCain won more handily among moderates and the roughly 10 percent who were self-described liberals." So this is supposed to be representative of GOP support?